Complex Insight - Understanding our world
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A few things the Symbol Research team are reading.  Complex Insight is curated by Phillip Trotter (www.linkedin.com/in/phillip-trotter) from Symbol Research
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Influenza: A viral world war

Influenza: A viral world war | Complex Insight  - Understanding our world | Scoop.it
The 1918 influenza pandemic probably infected one-third of the world's population at the time — 500 million people. It killed between 50 million and 100 million; by contrast, Second World War deaths numbered around 60 million. Why is this catastrophe

Via Ed Rybicki
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Bird Flu: H7N9 Infection Risk Mapped

Bird Flu: H7N9 Infection Risk Mapped | Complex Insight  - Understanding our world | Scoop.it

There have been 131 cases of infection confirmed cases of H7N9 in mainland China with 39  deaths. A lack of information about the virus and its mode of transmission  led to public concerns that H7N9 could be a pandemic waiting to happen.A map of avian influenza (H7N9) risk is now available. The map is comprised of bird migration patterns, and adding in estimations of poultry production and consumption, which are used to infer future risk and to advise on ways to prevent infection.

Phillip Trotter's insight:

Professor Jiming Liu who led the study explained, "By basing our model on wild bird migration and distribution of potentially infected poultry we are able to produce a time line of the estimated risk of human infection with H7N9. The preliminary results of our study made a prediction of bird flu risk which could explain the pattern of the most recent cases. By extending the model we will be able to predict future infection risks across central and western China, which will aid in surveillance and control of H7N9 infections. Since the effect of poultry-to-poultry infection is not really understood it may become necessary to regulate the activity of poultry markets. To learn more click on the image or title.

 

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